After Bab al-Amoud and Sheikh Jarrah 3 cases are likely to explode in Jerusalem in 2022

In addition to the issue of the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque, the Israeli occupation is trying to penetrate the central fabric of the city of Jerusalem in the presence of a Jew, along with the massacres of demolition to deter the popular Jerusalem trend of unlicensed construction, and to impose immigration as a forced choice on Jerusalemites.

Occupied Jerusalem - The victory that Jerusalemites achieved in Bab al-Amud and Al-Aqsa Mosque during 2021 was not easy to achieve, but it proved to Israel once again that the popular will in Jerusalem is always present and able to turn the equation around, especially with the entry of the Palestinian resistance on the front line in support of the Jerusalemites and in defense of the sanctities of the capital. occupied.

Soon after the end of each popular uprising, the Jerusalemites erase the scenes of arrest, attacks and abuse from their minds, but they dig deeply into their memory scenes of victory, steadfastness in the situation and insistence not to retreat from the demands.

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With the passing of 2021, the sound of the sirens that sounded in Jerusalem, hours after the Palestinian resistance threatened Israel with firing rockets, was not erased from their memory, if it did not stop its attacks on Al-Aqsa and Bab Al-Amud.

They also did not hide from their memory the scenes of victory in Bab al-Amud, after the Israeli police were forced to remove the barriers from the stands in May, and later the victory scenes expressed by Jerusalemites by sounding their car horns for hours to celebrate the cease-fire and the end of the recent war on Gaza.

In the month of Ramadan, they retreated inside Al-Aqsa Mosque and refused to empty its courtyards for settlers to carry out a mass incursion on what is known as the “Unification of Jerusalem” day, and they withstood the severe repression that resulted in hundreds of injuries.

Months passed and the war and the popular uprising in Bab al-Amud ended, but it is no longer a secret to anyone that Jerusalem - and specifically the Al-Aqsa Mosque - formed the address of the central explosion of the Palestinian popular confrontations, with 7 confrontations over 25 years, 5 of which took the form of successive donations from 2014 until today They explode with an average difference of 17 months between them.

Al Jazeera Net discussed the data and events of 2021 with the researcher in Jerusalem affairs, Ziad Abhis, and foresaw the scene that Jerusalem awaits in 2022.

Al-Aqsa Mosque and Jerusalem in general have turned into a central address in the conflict. In what context do the successive explosions in the city of Jerusalem come?

These explosions come as a result of a structural change in the form of the Zionist colonial project, as it began to lean more towards the struggle over identity, and on imposing a preference for the Jewish identity within historical Palestine, in light of its fear of the continuous decline of its demographic preference, and in light of the continuing societal trend towards the right, and towards interpretation. The religious nationalism of Zionism.

This is what makes resolving the fate of the identity of the city of Jerusalem a fundamental battle, and also makes the project of religious replacement in the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque a central agenda that has been on the rise since 1996 until today, and the decisions of former US President Donald Trump reinforced these trends.

What are the other central issues targeted in Jerusalem that lead to the outbreak of confrontations during close periods of time?

In addition to the issue of the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque, there were two central issues of the Israeli targeting of Jerusalem, the first being the penetration of the central fabric of the city of Jerusalem with the presence of a Jew, a task in which the occupation failed for 50 years, as the percentage of its presence in the historical central fabric of the city remained close to 6% of the population , compared to 94% of Arab Jerusalemites. Therefore, the occupation is now seeking to penetrate this tissue at two central points: Sheikh Jarrah in the north, and Silwan in the south.

As for the third central line, it was the massacres of demolitions to deter the popular Jerusalem trend of unlicensed construction, and to impose immigration as a forced option on Jerusalemites due to the absence of sufficient housing units. Among these three central targeting lines were the policies of controlling public space and education, undermining the health sector, and dividing Palestinian areas through settlement infrastructure directed at fragmenting the city's fabric.

The central targeting lines led to the outbreak of confrontations in Jerusalem during the year 2021, so will these lines be the address for the outbreak of confrontations again in 2022?

Two of the central targeting lines turned during 2021 into confrontation fronts, specifically the Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood in the face of the attempt to displace it, and the Al-Aqsa Mosque in the face of the comprehensive aggression attempt on Ramadan 28, in addition to the headlines of the conflict over the public space represented by Bab al-Amud, which the attempt to control overturned. Space for settlers to an important address to open successive Ramadan battles.

All these front lines are still active and rising in Jerusalem, and it is expected that they will escalate in 2022. Sheikh Jarrah has expanded the fronts of his evacuation from the Karam al-Jaouni neighborhood to the land of the Salihiya family in the east and the Umm Haroun village in the west, with the residents of the Karam al-Jaouni neighborhood continuing to insist on their right to their homes .

The targeting of Al-Aqsa Mosque is also on the rise under Bennett’s government made up of left-wing currents led by an extreme right-wing party, especially after the conference of extremist Temple groups in November, which discussed extremist proposals to enhance the “Jewish presence” at Al-Aqsa, and multiply the number of intruders to 10 times.

The Knesset adopted a number of the outcomes of this conference by organizing school educational visits to Al-Aqsa, adopting this holy site as part of the internal education of the police and security services, recommending lifting restrictions on intruders and extending the hours of intrusion, and other recommendations that await their turn in obtaining official support.

What is your reading of the candidate stations for the explosion in 2022?

Attention should be paid to the analogy between the Hijri and Hebrew calendars in 2022, as the eight-day Passover will coincide with the third week of Ramadan.

And if we read the repeated attempts of extremist temple groups to bring the ritual of slaughtering sacrifices closer to Al-Aqsa over the past 6 years, the explosion seems very likely in the next Ramadan, and if it is delayed from Ramadan, the causes of this explosion continue to escalate, which makes the explosion inevitable, but the question remains when? As August and the long holiday season from the end of September to October 18, the next stations appear to be candidates for this explosion, with its highest probability remaining in the next Ramadan.

Palestinian institutions documented the Israeli violations in Jerusalem during 2021 as follows:

-38 thousand and 150 extremists stormed the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque.

-271 cases of demolition, including more than 100 cases of self-demolition.

-2,490 arrests, and 36 administrative detention orders were issued against Jerusalemites.

-312 home confinement orders, and dozens of victims of this punishment are children.

-495 exclusion orders, most of them from Al-Aqsa Mosque and places of confrontation.